U.S. presidential election outcome predictions thread.

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RabidTalker
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https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2016/11/04/whos-voting-early-latino-turnout-is-surging-but-white-turnout-is-too/

On the other hand, our own analysis suggests that in several key states the minority share of the early vote this year is indeed smaller than in 2008 and 2012. Even as Latino early voting has increased, the growth among whites has been even larger.
Fascinating, the strategy of Trump to take a larger share of the white vote rather than reach out to minority votes (as declared to be the correct strategy after the Mitt Romney loss) may be paying off.
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GFY
@CancerOnTheCusp
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Posted by rabidtalker
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2016/11/04/whos-voting-early-latino-turnout-is-surging-but-white-turnout-is-too/

On the other hand, our own analysis suggests that in several key states the minority share of the early vote this year is indeed smaller than in 2008 and 2012. Even as Latino early voting has increased, the growth among whites has been even larger.
Fascinating, the strategy of Trump to take a larger share of the white vote rather than reach out to minority votes (as declared to be the correct strategy after the Mitt Romney loss) may be paying off.

click to expand

Its not about race.

Its about class--those who are monied who play the lower classes against the middle (Bourgeoisie).

Classic Marxism.

Its not Trump playing the game. He's trying to turn over the chess board.
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RabidTalker
@rabidtalker
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Posted by CancerOnTheCusp
Its not about race.

Its about class--those who are monied who play the lower classes against the middle (Bourgeoisie).

Classic Marxism.

Its not Trump playing the game. He's trying to turn over the chess board.
It's about political strategy and race happens to fall into it. I'm just surprised that it is working because it is against all known, or at least mainstream political thought.

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GFY
@CancerOnTheCusp
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Posted by rabidtalker
Posted by CancerOnTheCusp
Its not about race.

Its about class--those who are monied who play the lower classes against the middle (Bourgeoisie).

Classic Marxism.

Its not Trump playing the game. He's trying to turn over the chess board.
It's about political strategy and race happens to fall into it. I'm just surprised that it is working because it is against all known, or at least mainstream political thought.

click to expand

Mainstream political thought = status quo.

Think about how that status quo is working for you.

I do all right because I read it.

But in general, status quo (currently) is not good.
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GFY
@CancerOnTheCusp
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Posted by oEUo
Posted by CancerOnTheCusp
Posted by Impulsv
The Dow is now plummeting

Well done
It will plummet.

The Dow has been in a bubble for at least the last 7 years.

Invest in cash soon, then invest when actual assets give you something to invest in.
It amazes me at the number of people that don't realize we're sitting one of the worst stock bubbles in decades.

click to expand

Buy low, sell high.
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brianafay
@brianafay
19 Years25,000+ PostsSagittarius

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Posted by Impulsv
Posted by Brotato
Posted by Hare
Posted by GetMisted
Posted by Hare
Posted by GetMisted
I have a feeling this is going to come down to Cali.
It's pretty much over for Clinton. Even with the west coast states and what she's currently leading, she can't make 270.


Did the numbers.. If they both win the states they are leading in now, a win in Cali, Wash, OR, and a combination of two of NV/Idaho/AK/HI wins her the election
She'll win Hawaii...not sure about NV. She won't win ID or AK.


yep.

ID and AK will go to Trump for sure. NV is a battleground state.

she'll get the west coast for sure.

the silver lining is pot should be legal here in Cali, so I'll have that to deal with the grief.



Yeah can't wait for my neighbor smoke up a storm in our shared ventalazion system n get second hand high.

Annoying as fuck

Already happening with some people I know.

click to expand


? Highly unlikely
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LillyPetal
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Posted by brianafay
Posted by GetMisted
I feel like we could throw Big Bird into the primaries in 4 years, and he'd have a legit shot as a presidential contender.

Image Not Found
Seriously

We basically have a Kardashian running in Trump
click to expand

As a child, I despised Big Bird! I wanted to beat his square, preppy arse like a piñata. Now, Grover, he is presidential material. Incompetent, yes, but what president isn't? 😄
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LillyPetal
@LillyPetal
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Comments: 33 · Posts: 5490 · Topics: 118
Alright, peeps. In times like this, when we're on the cusp of a major governmental disaster, the best thing to do is go to bed. I gots homework, Zumba, and weight training tomorrow.

The only "positive" I can see from a Trump win is that he will be a shock to the system of America. His win and appointment as president may be just the flame we all need under our complacent, passive, politically unaware bums. He is the antithesis of what we want America to stand for, he is our hypocrisy - loud, abbreassive, and hard to ignore and deny. His bad hair symbolizes the shortcomings we hate in ourselves but haven't quite mustered the proactiveness to actually do something about them. Maybe a Trump win is what we need to inspire activism.

Wit that said, may God have mercy on all of our souls.

Goodnight
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sultrykitty
@sultrykitty
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Posted by Brotato
Posted by sultrykitty
Has nothing to do with race, hun. But you keep on believing that.
it mostly has to do with class and levels of education. Race does play a role in there also.

Google any Trump rally and you'll hear hostile rhetoric.

#factsmatter

click to expand

Maybe some, both sides have their share of troglodites. But I've watched 2 or 3 of his rallies and really just saw an upswell of enthusiasm for an American regeneration and a condemnation of the status quo.

It's not even about class. It's about domestic economics, basically. If you actually look at his policy points, it will do more to help the majority of Americans and will hurt the government class and 1% .



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